Leeds United vs Bournemouth: prediction & betting odds 27 September 2025

The Matchday 6 Premier League clash between Leeds and Bournemouth will take place on September 27 at Elland Road. Leeds vs. Bournemouth: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Leeds

In the previous round, Daniel Farke's side confidently defeated Wolverhampton away (3-1). As a result, Leeds secured their second victory in the current championship. Moreover, the team managed to score more than two goals for the first time in the last 16 Premier League matches. However, the club once again failed to keep a clean sheet, having conceded in 18 of their last 19 Premier League encounters. The team currently sits 12th in the standings with seven points.


  • The club has not won in 12 of their last 14 league matches (3 draws, 9 losses).
  • The team has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 9 of their last 10 home Premier League games.
  • Both teams scored in 14 of Leeds' last 18 Premier League matches.

Predicted lineup for Leeds (5-3-2)

Karl Darlow – Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Ethan Ampadu – Sean Longstaff, Brenden Aaronson, Anton Stach – Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor.


Key goalkeeper Lukas Perry and defender Ethan Ampadu are out due to injuries.

Bournemouth

Andoni Iraola's side drew 0-0 with Newcastle at home in the previous round. As a result, Bournemouth ended their three-match winning streak in the Premier League and failed to score for the first time in the current championship. On the other hand, the team kept a clean sheet for the third time in their last four Premier League matches. The club has ten points and is in fourth place in the standings.


  • The team has not won in 6 of their last 8 away Premier League matches (3 draws, 3 losses).
  • The players have scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 away Premier League games.
  • At least three goals have been scored in 14 of Bournemouth's last 16 away league matches.

Predicted lineup for Bournemouth (4-4-2)

Djorde Petrovic – Alejandro Jimenez, Marcos Senesi, Adrien Truffert, Bafode Diakite – Alex Scott, David Brooks, Marcus Tavernier, Tyler Adams – Antoine Semenyo, Evanilson.


Midfielder Lewis Cook and forward Enes Unal are out due to injuries.

Referee

Michael Oliver (England)


Matches – 5 (Premier League, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 10;

Average yellow cards per match – 2;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties – 20%.

Leeds vs. Bournemouth: Match Prediction

In this matchup, I expect a high-scoring game from both sides, as the teams' statistics suggest. Leeds, although not always achieving the desired results at home, manage to be effective in attack. In their last ten home Premier League matches, the team failed to score only once, and in three instances during this period, they scored two goals. At the same time, Leeds cannot boast a reliable defense, conceding in 7 of their last 9 home Premier League matches.


Bournemouth, even away, tries to play openly and creates many chances: in their last 17 away league matches, the team left the field without scoring only once. Moreover, in 12 encounters during this period, the club scored at least two goals. However, in 10 of their last 12 away Premier League matches, Bournemouth failed to keep a clean sheet.


I expect both teams to score in this encounter, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes

Betting tips 27 September 2025

Leeds United and Bournemouth are well placed for their ambitions. The hosts sit in the middle of the standings, while the visitors are in the European places. Each side hopes for three points, but only one will collect them unless they have to settle for a draw.

Leeds United, like Bournemouth, have settled for a draw only once, in Matchweek 3 against Newcastle United. Neither side worked out how to score even once. On two other occasions the hosts lost when they failed to score. Yet those seven points had to come from somewhere. Everton failed to press the issue (seven shots with one on target) and lost after they conceded from the spot (0:1). Wolverhampton Wanderers are currently dropping points to almost everyone, and opponents keep taking advantage (3:1).

Bournemouth will take some prising open. Even against Liverpool, they yielded all three points only late on (2:4). Everyone knows about the club’s issue at centre-back. They sold Dean Huijsen and Illia Zabarnyi to established clubs, yet Marcos Senesi, who missed more than half of last season with a serious injury, is delivering solid performances. When he was not facing the champions, the Argentinian’s rating was above 7.0. That tracks: from Matchweek 2 to Matchweek 5, the visitors conceded only once.

It will be hard for Leeds United to score against Bournemouth, because the hosts have found the net only four times since the start of the campaign; therefore we expect to see the visitors avoid defeat, with no more than three goals in the game.

Betting prediction
Bournemouth to win or draw + Total Under 3.5 – Yes
Cf
Odds
22/25
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Leeds United vs Bournemouth Odds

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Premier League: previous matches in the tournament

Leeds United
20.09.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Leeds United
W
13.09.25
Fulham
Leeds United
L
30.08.25
Leeds United
Newcastle United
D
23.08.25
Arsenal
Leeds United
L
18.08.25
Leeds United
Everton
W
More matches
Bournemouth
21.09.25
Bournemouth
Newcastle United
D
13.09.25
Bournemouth
Brighton and Hove Albion
W
30.08.25
Tottenham Hotspur
Bournemouth
W
23.08.25
Bournemouth
Wolverhampton Wanderers
W
15.08.25
Liverpool
Bournemouth
L
More matches

H2H: Leeds United — Bournemouth

Premier League 2022-2023
30.04.23
Bournemouth
Leeds United
05.11.22
Leeds United
Bournemouth

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
6 5 0 1 12:7 15
2
Crystal Palace
6 3 3 0 8:3 12
3
Tottenham Hotspur
6 3 2 1 11:4 11
4
Sunderland
6 3 2 1 7:4 11
5
Bournemouth
6 3 2 1 8:7 11
6
Manchester City
6 3 1 2 14:6 10
7
Arsenal
5 3 1 1 10:2 10
8
Chelsea
6 2 2 2 11:8 8
9
Brighton and Hove Albion
6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10
Fulham
6 2 2 2 7:8 8
11
Leeds United
6 2 2 2 6:9 8
12
Everton
5 2 1 2 6:5 7
13
Brentford
6 2 1 3 9:11 7
14
Manchester United
6 2 1 3 7:11 7
15
Newcastle United
5 1 3 1 3:3 6
16
Aston Villa
6 1 3 2 4:6 6
17
Nottingham Forest
6 1 2 3 5:10 5
18
Burnley
6 1 1 4 6:13 4
19
West Ham United
5 1 0 4 5:13 3
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2
Sunderland
3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3
Bournemouth
3 2 1 0 3:1 7
4
Arsenal
3 2 1 0 9:1 7
5
Fulham
3 2 1 0 5:2 7
6
Brentford
3 2 1 0 6:3 7
7
Manchester City
3 2 0 1 8:3 6
8
Manchester United
3 2 0 1 5:4 6
9
Crystal Palace
3 1 2 0 3:2 5
10
Brighton and Hove Albion
3 1 2 0 5:4 5
11
Leeds United
3 1 2 0 3:2 5
12
Tottenham Hotspur
3 1 1 1 4:2 4
13
Chelsea
3 1 1 1 3:3 4
14
Everton
2 1 1 0 2:0 4
15
Aston Villa
3 1 1 1 3:4 4
16
Burnley
3 1 1 1 3:2 4
17
Newcastle United
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
18
Nottingham Forest
3 1 0 2 3:5 3
19
West Ham United
3 0 0 3 2:10 0
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Crystal Palace
3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2
Tottenham Hotspur
3 2 1 0 7:2 7
3
Liverpool
3 2 0 1 5:4 6
4
Sunderland
3 1 1 1 1:2 4
5
Bournemouth
3 1 1 1 5:6 4
6
Manchester City
3 1 1 1 6:3 4
7
Chelsea
3 1 1 1 8:5 4
8
Arsenal
2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9
Brighton and Hove Albion
3 1 0 2 4:5 3
10
Leeds United
3 1 0 2 3:7 3
11
Everton
3 1 0 2 4:5 3
12
Newcastle United
3 0 3 0 0:0 3
13
West Ham United
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
14
Aston Villa
3 0 2 1 1:2 2
15
Nottingham Forest
3 0 2 1 2:5 2
16
Fulham
3 0 1 2 2:6 1
17
Manchester United
3 0 1 2 2:7 1
18
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3 0 1 2 1:3 1
19
Brentford
3 0 0 3 3:8 0
20
Burnley
3 0 0 3 3:11 0

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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